Colgate
W-L: (18-15) PR = 94.7024Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 69-80 1107 H Northeastern CA ( 7-24, 94.1) 65-68 1111 A Drexel CA (17-16, 95.1) 90-83 1114 H Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 65-84 1117 A Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 72-69 1120 H Cornell IVY (14-14, 95.1) **-95 1128 A UAlbany AE (11-21, 93.5) 69-67 1129 A SUNYO 85-50 1130 A Fordham A10 (17-15, 95.4) 72-62 1206 A STJNF 94-50 1210 H St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 77-85 1221 H Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 60-90 1228 H Harvard IVY (17-12, 95.2) 69-78 1231 A Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 85-77 103 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 76-69 107 A American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 64-62 110 H Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 77-78 114 A Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 86-80 117 A Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) 95-76 121 H American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 66-70 124 A Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 80-79 128 A Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 79-74 131 H Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 76-77 204 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 69-55 207 A Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) 78-59 211 A Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 74-70 214 H Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 80-84 216 H Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 58-85 221 A Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) **-98 225 H Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 69-70 228 H Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 69-85 305 A Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 90-77 308 H Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 69-76
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Michigan St 69-80 -11 -4 0.00
1107 H Northeastern 65-68 -3 1 - -2.61
1111 A Drexel 90-83 7 0 + 2.37
1114 H Illinois 65-84 -19 -4 0.00
1117 A Siena 72-69 3 -1 + 2.61
1120 H Cornell **-95 -177 0 -1.59
1128 A UAlbany 69-67 2 1 0.83
1130 A Fordham 72-62 10 -1 + 2.70
1210 H St. Bonnies 77-85 -8 -1 -0.94
1221 H Florida 60-90 -30 -4 0.00
1228 H Harvard 69-78 -9 -1 -1.50
1231 A Lafayette 85-77 8 1 1.09
103 A Army 76-69 7 1 0.86
107 A American 64-62 2 0 1.79
110 H Lehigh 77-78 -1 0 -1.33
114 A Loyola-MD 86-80 6 1 1.01
117 A Bucknell 95-76 19 1 1.08
121 H American 66-70 -4 0 - -2.23
124 A Boston Univ 80-79 1 0 0.60
128 A Holy Cross 79-74 5 1 0.93
131 H Lehigh 76-77 -1 0 -1.33
204 A Army 69-55 14 1 0.86
207 A Bucknell 78-59 19 1 1.08
211 A Holy Cross 74-70 4 1 0.93
214 H Navy 80-84 -4 -1 -1.27
216 H Boston Univ 58-85 -27 0 - -2.42
221 A Loyola-MD **-98 3 1 1.01
225 H Lafayette 69-70 -1 1 -1.93
228 H Navy 69-85 -16 -1 -1.27
305 A Loyola-MD 90-77 13 1 1.01
308 H Lehigh 69-76 -7 0 - -2.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 H Northeastern 65-68 -3 1 - -2.61 121 H American 66-70 -4 0 - -2.23 216 H Boston Univ 58-85 -27 0 - -2.42 308 H Lehigh 69-76 -7 0 - -2.33 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 A Drexel 90-83 7 0 + 2.37 1117 A Siena 72-69 3 -1 + 2.61 1130 A Fordham 72-62 10 -1 + 2.70 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 69-80 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.06 -0.64
3 H Northeastern ( 7-24, 94.1) 65-68 -5.79 1.68 -0.01 1.06 -3.09
3 A Drexel (17-16, 95.1) 90-83 -4.83 2.64 0.01 1.06 5.65
3 H Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 65-84 -1.23 6.25 -0.01 1.06 -0.66
3 A Siena (23-12, 95.3) 72-69 -4.60 2.88 0.01 1.06 6.15
3 H Cornell (14-14, 95.1) **-95 -4.78 2.70 -0.01 1.06 -2.55
3 A UAlbany (11-21, 93.5) 69-67 -6.38 1.10 0.01 1.06 2.36
3 A Fordham (17-15, 95.4) 72-62 -4.51 2.97 0.01 1.06 6.34
3 H St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 77-85 -4.13 3.35 -0.01 1.06 -2.20
3 H Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 60-90 -1.07 6.40 -0.01 1.06 -0.58
3 H Harvard (17-12, 95.2) 69-78 -4.68 2.79 -0.01 1.06 -2.50
3 A Lafayette (11-22, 93.8) 85-77 -6.11 1.36 0.01 1.06 2.92
3 A Army (11-21, 93.5) 76-69 -6.35 1.12 0.01 1.06 2.42
3 A American (16-17, 94.5) 64-62 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.06 4.40
3 H Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 77-78 -5.52 1.96 -0.01 1.06 -2.94
3 A Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 86-80 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.06 2.74
3 A Bucknell (10-23, 93.8) 95-76 -6.13 1.34 0.01 1.06 2.88
3 H American (16-17, 94.5) 66-70 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.06 -2.89
3 A Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 80-79 -5.61 1.87 0.01 1.06 4.00
3 A Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 79-74 -6.28 1.20 0.01 1.06 2.58
3 H Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 76-77 -5.52 1.96 -0.01 1.06 -2.94
3 A Army (11-21, 93.5) 69-55 -6.35 1.12 0.01 1.06 2.42
3 A Bucknell (10-23, 93.8) 78-59 -6.13 1.34 0.01 1.06 2.88
3 A Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 74-70 -6.28 1.20 0.01 1.06 2.58
3 H Navy (26- 8, 95.4) 80-84 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.06 -2.38
3 H Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 58-85 -5.61 1.87 -0.01 1.06 -2.99
3 A Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) **-98 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.06 2.74
3 H Lafayette (11-22, 93.8) 69-70 -6.11 1.36 -0.01 1.06 -3.26
3 H Navy (26- 8, 95.4) 69-85 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.06 -2.38
3 A Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 90-77 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.06 2.74
3 H Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 69-76 -5.52 1.96 -0.01 1.06 -2.94
------
20.85
|
winning pts = 55.8005 losing points = -34.9490
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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